Bayesian Estimation of a Skew-t Stochastic Volatility Model

Número: 
9
Ano: 
2011
Autor: 
Carlos A. Abanto-Valle
Víctor H. Lachos
Dipak K. Dey
Abstract: 

In this paper we present a stochastic volatility (SV) model assuming that the return shock has a skew-Student-t distribution. This allows a parsimonious, flexible treatment of asymmetry and heavy tails in the conditional distribution of returns. An efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo estimation method is described that exploits a skew-normal mixture representation of the error distribution with a gamma distribution as the mixing distribution. We apply the methodology to the NASDAQ daily index returns.

Keywords: 
Markov chain Monte Carlo
non-Gaussian and nonlinear state space models
skew-Student-t
stochastic volatility
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